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Carville, Matalin Talk Politics at NBAA2012
October 31, 2012
With the 2012 Election Day just six days away, attendees at the second-day general session of NBAA2012 had the opportunity on Oct. 31 to hear from two of the country’s most famous political pundits – James Carville and Mary Matalin.
Carville, an author, actor, producer, talk-show host, business aviation enthusiast and campaign manager for former Democratic President Bill Clinton, and Matalin, campaign manager for former Republican President George Bush in 1992 and a counselor to former Vice President Dick Cheney, shared their insights on the upcoming presidential election, as well as anecdotes from their lives in and out of politics.
The married couple, who live in New Orleans with their two teenage daughters, were making their third appearance at an NBAA Convention, following visits in 2006 and 2008.
Carville shared with attendees some things to watch for on election night. He predicted that if Republican candidate Mitt Romney wins Pennsylvania, he will win the election, but if Obama wins Virginia or Florida, the president will serve a second term. If neither of those scenarios plays out, Carville said, then Ohio becomes key.
Carville noted that traditional pollsters, such as Gallup, are predicting a win for Romney, while gamblers and mathematicians say Obama can’t lose. Whoever wins the election, Carville predicts that person will do so with a 49 percent of the vote.
“The stakes are enormous,” he said. “The most important event in any democracy is an election … it should have enormous consequences.”
Matalin, however, seemed more confident in her party’s chances come Election Day.
“I think it is going to be our version of a 21st century blowout,” she said, predicting a Romney win by three to five points.
She said her confidence is based on fundamentals as she looks at the electorate. There is growing resistance to a ballooning government, worry over the rising national debt and a belief in the need to reform entitlement programs, Matalin said – all issues a Romney presidency will address.
Also, she noted, the GOP swept into power in Washington, DC and across the country in 2010, and since then have survived challenges, such as Republican Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who won a recall election.
Following their talks, both had a chance to answer a few audience questions, including one asking their thoughts about whether Hurricane Sandy would have an impact on the election.
Matalin said it’s an unknown, adding, “Everybody is freaking out today, it’s frozen everything.” However, she added, many think the outcome was already “baked” before the storm hit.
Carville said he also didn’t know about the effects of Sandy, though pointed out Romney repeatedly said during the campaign he would abolish the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). He admitted, however, the “visuals” of the president during and after the storm, looked good for Obama.